May 23rd - OK/TX/KS

It's pretty clear parameters will be favorable for supercells and tornadoes (especially late), but exactly where the storms will be is a tough question. Models are all over the place, but there are two areas. 1) Along warm front as it moves NWWD across the panhandles and 2) farther west where main forcing is coming out. I don't like the models consistent forecast of poor low level lapse rates up through the TX panhandle. The main thing to watch today is the visible imagery and surface obs...if it can heat up toward 80 near the boundary then we'll be in really good shape. Would love to chat more but have to go WEST!

May 4 - Isolated Cell in SW KS??

Moisture return is well underway with strong heating expected W of dryline. Some concern with capping but should be able to break cap. This may occur rather late in the day, between 5-7pm. I expect an isolated supercell over SW KS, with potential for a decent tornado. This is just the apitizer as Saturday looks phenomenal.